Posted: 2020-06-30 08:18:19 (CT) [ 912 views ]
While MLB is planning to ramp up and begin in late July, the NBA would like to finish its season beginning about the same time. NBA's plan to bring all the teams to Orlando and play at Disney's Arena to finish the 2019-2020 campaign conjures up some questions. How will VMI compare teams that are fully conformed to the same environment? Since all the teams will be there, won't the VMI be zero? Why even bother to calculate the VMI's for such a short stint?
At VMI, we think this is a great opportunity to show the world what happens when a league has both talent parity and a level playing field. To some, it will look like the talent pool is thin. To us, we believe that parity plus level playing fields is the best way to determine the champion.
VMI believes that during past seasons, once the play-off's have begun, the level playing field occurred about the 3rd game of each series. This year, the level playing field will be in play the entire post-season even though the games will most likely revert to home sports arenas. There will be no home crowd. Both teams will need to adjust to the venue from Orlando. In the event NBA hosts the entire post-season in Orlando, then no adjustment will need to be made at all.
These aspects will provide us with a great baseline in terms of shooting percentages. It is very difficult to balance the shooting and winning percentages with traditional statistical analysis without a baseline. Add to that, the few games within each VMI range and one can see why the percentages may not be very telling at this point. We are extremely excited to have this opportunity so early in our website life.
We have not balanced our VMI formula yet for basketball. Our new website for baseball--(BaseballTout) is being published approximately August 1, 2020. However, it is the product of many years of research and several years of trying to balance traditional stastical data with VMI philosophies.
For Basketball, that is the NBA--we have not collected enough information to attempt a balance yet. Furthermore, basketball is extremely different than baseball, so the VMI has a lesser effect on the win and loss of the games than in baseball.
While we are happy that our power index is performing quite well, we will not be comfortable with selling our picks for a couple more years. There is no "BasketballTout" in the works at this time.
It is my opinion that the VMI and the Power Index for Basketball will be more valid for college basketball and the end of year tournaments than in the NBA, but with this new league event we may be able to make great strides.
